Russia’s latest threat against Elon Musk and Starlink came after Moscow claimed that Ukrainian drones used Starlink terminals in a deadly strike on a college dormitory in Russian-occupied Luhansk.

Russian State Duma chairman Vyacheslav Volodin accused Musk’s satellite network of helping Ukraine “kill children” and warned that if Starlink continues supporting Ukraine, Russia could respond with weapons that would “leave no trace of anyone.” The claim is being amplified by Russian state media and pro-Kremlin outlets as part of Moscow’s broader effort to portray Ukraine as the aggressor — even as Russia continues escalating attacks on Ukrainian civilians and civilian infrastructure.

Ukraine has relied heavily on Starlink for battlefield communications, drone coordination, logistics, and resilience under attack. Starlink has helped Ukrainian units stay connected even when Russia targets conventional communications infrastructure.

But Starlink is not simply “private internet.”

SpaceX has received roughly $6 billion in U.S. government contracts over the past five years, and about one-fifth of its 2025 revenue came from federal agencies. The publicly reported Starlink-for-Ukraine contracts are smaller — at least $37 million in Pentagon Starlink service contracts, with a possible $150 million Ukraine sale approved later — but the full Starlink/Starshield government exposure is harder to isolate because SpaceX contracts are spread across NASA, the Pentagon, classified programs, launch services, Starshield, and satellite communications.

Russia has several realistic ways to threaten satellite-enabled warfare. The most immediate are jamming, electronic warfare, cyberattacks, and attacks on ground terminals. These are already part of modern conflict.

The more escalatory threat involves anti-satellite weapons. Western intelligence agencies have warned that Russia is developing counterspace capabilities, including systems that could threaten satellite networks.

But Russia’s apocalyptic rhetoric should not be confused with a clean or simple capability.

Destroying or significantly degrading a large satellite constellation like Starlink is not easy, clean, or consequence-free. An attack in orbit could create debris, disrupt civilian services, affect systems used far beyond Ukraine, and risk a much broader escalation.

ONEST take:
Russia is threatening Starlink because Ukraine is still connected.

And in this war, connection is power.

The battlefield is no longer only on the ground. It is in orbit, in code, and in the signal between them.

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Olga Nesterova
Olga Nesterova is a journalist and founder of ONEST Network, a reader-supported platform covering U.S. and global affairs. A former White House correspondent and UN diplomat, she focuses on international security and geopolitical strategy.

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