The Iran War and the Layered Opportunism Model: How One Conflict Opens Multiple Fronts

Deep Dive

The Supply Chains Washington Cannot Tariff Away

The United States produces more oil and gas than any other country. It still depends on Canadian energy, minerals and infrastructure — and its latest tariffs reveal where economic coercion meets physical reality.

By Olga Nesterova • 7 min read

Deep Dive

NATO’s Indo-Pacific Strategy Is Growing — Even as Washington Sends Mixed Signals

Inside an Asia Society discussion on what the Indo-Pacific Four (IP4) are actually trying to achieve with NATO.

By Olga Nesterova • 5 min read

Deep Dive

Inside China's Global Governance Playbook

What Beijing's new white paper reveals about its vision for the UN, multilateralism, trade, and the future of the global financial system.

By Olga Nesterova • 6 min read

Daily Brief

Daily Brief: UK Drawn Deeper Into Iran War, US–EU Tech Fight Escalates, NATO Downs Drone Over Romania

Two Chokepoints, One Widening War The U.S. completed a 13th night of strikes on Iran, disabled another vessel attempting to breach its blockade and operated B-1 bombers from Britain — prompting Tehran to declare supporting UK bases legitimate targets. Meanwhile, Iran claimed attacks on U.S. facilities across the

By Olga Nesterova • 15 min read

Explained

House Passes NDAA Deepening US-Israel Defense Integration — As Senate Weighs Broader Regional Intelligence Network

The House passed its FY2027 defense authorization bill Wednesday with a provision establishing deeper US-Israel defense technology cooperation. Meanwhile, a separate Senate intelligence bill would expand intelligence sharing with Israel and Abraham Accords partners — potentially building an intelligence layer on top of the regional normalization framework. The US House

By Olga Nesterova • 5 min read

Daily Brief

Daily Brief: Trump Threatens Iranian Infrastructure as US Signs Saudi Nuclear Pact

The US campaign enters an 11th consecutive night; Houthi threats extend pressure toward a second shipping chokepoint; Ukraine installs new military leadership; and France records 5,764 excess deaths during its historic heatwave.

By Olga Nesterova • 9 min read

Deep Dive

The Supply Chains Washington Cannot Tariff Away

The United States produces more oil and gas than any other country. It still depends on Canadian energy, minerals and infrastructure — and its latest tariffs reveal where economic coercion meets physical reality.

By Olga Nesterova • 7 min read

Daily Brief

Daily Brief: US–Iran War Widens as Trump Opens New Trade War With Canada

President Donald Trump announced a 50 percent tariff on most Canadian goods, overriding protections previously available under the North American trade agreement and reopening a potentially devastating dispute with the United States’ second-largest trading partner. The announcement came as the United States carried out a ninth consecutive day of

By Olga Nesterova • 7 min read

Explained

China Offers AI as a Global Public Good — But Access Also Builds Influence

Beijing’s lower-cost models, weather technology and training programs could narrow a real technological divide. They are also components of a broader effort to shape the infrastructure, standards and institutions governing artificial intelligence.

By Olga Nesterova • 6 min read