ONEST Deep Dive: Who actually controls Ukraine’s war funding?

Deep Dive

NATO AT A CROSSROADS: What Happens If the Alliance Doesn’t Break — But Stops Working?

NATO faces a new kind of risk — not collapse, but paralysis. As U.S. strategy shifts and global conflicts expand, questions are emerging about deterrence, alliance cohesion, and what happens if NATO stops functioning as intended.

By Olga Nesterova • 4 min read

Deep Dive

The Iran War and the Layered Opportunism Model: How One Conflict Opens Multiple Fronts

A deep dive into the Iran war through the “Layered Opportunism Model,” examining how one conflict activates broader rivalries between the U.S., China, Russia, and Gulf powers.

By Olga Nesterova • 7 min read

Deep Dive

From the JCPOA to Geneva: Why “Zero Enrichment Forever” Is Not a Negotiation — and Why China Is Watching

US-Iran Geneva talks escalate as Washington demands permanent zero enrichment and Iran refuses. Analysis of the JCPOA history, Trump’s second-term strategy, Israel’s strike debate, China’s Taiwan calculus, and why this isn’t “Venezuela.”

By Olga Nesterova • 5 min read

News

Maduro in Manhattan: A Trial Begins — and a Legal System Test Emerges

Nicolás Maduro appeared in federal court in Manhattan this week — but the first battle is not about the charges. It is about whether the case can proceed at all.

By Olga Nesterova • 2 min read

Explained

Ukraine funding under scrutiny: can the U.S. legally redirect NATO-backed PURL money?

A detailed look at how NATO allies fund Ukraine’s weapons through the U.S. — and the legal implications of redirecting those funds.

By Olga Nesterova • 4 min read

MARCH 25: War expands, oil shock deepens, and the UN revives reparations debate

“We’ll just keep bombing our little hearts out.” — President Trump “Total annihilation is not an option.” — Qatar Foreign Ministry 123 countries back UN resolution condemning slavery and calling reparations a ‘concrete step’ KEY DEVELOPMENTS * U.S. preparing expanded military deployment options, including airborne troops * Gulf states shift posture toward

By Olga Nesterova • 9 min read

Explained

If Saudi Arabia and the UAE Enter the War Against Iran: What Comes Next for the Middle East

A wider Gulf war would shift the conflict from military strikes to a battle over energy, shipping, and water systems — with consequences for Qatar, Oman, Bahrain, and global markets.

By Olga Nesterova • 4 min read

Global Briefing

MARCH 23: U.S.–Iran Tensions Shift Again, Deadly LaGuardia Collision, Israel Expands Regional Strikes

KEY DEVELOPMENTS * U.S.–Iran escalation takes a volatile turn as threats, walk-backs, and denied negotiations collide within hours * Deadly collision at LaGuardia Airport raises urgent questions about air traffic control and airport coordination * Israel intensifies regional operations, targeting infrastructure in Lebanon and striking inside Tehran NUMBERS TO WATCH • 3,

By Olga Nesterova • 8 min read

ONEST Insight

Inside CSW70: What the UN’s Commission on the Status of Women Revealed About a Fracturing World

A firsthand report from the UN’s Commission on the Status of Women (CSW70), revealing the gap between global commitments and reality across peace, justice, technology, and funding.

By Olga Nesterova • 7 min read